Could a June vote cauterise the haemorrhaging of Tory support?
‘An earlier poll would galvanise Conservatives around their targets: voters who have not made up their minds, or who can be “tipped” back from sort-of liking Labour’
This may not be fatal to the Prime Minister, but the unease in the Tory ranks also indicates that the PM has had difficulty repelling this mood – something his friends tell me he is “aware of and thinking hard about” as he takes a short bank holiday break. The party is trailing badly in the polls and hoped that a national insurance tweak in the recent budget would be received with more gratitude than has turned out to be the case
Underlying this is also a less flattering message for Sunak, namely that time is running out to make him and his personal brand the answer to Tory woes. My own view is more Gove-ian than the present “summer push” enthusiasm. Jeremy Hunt’s last budget felt like a warm-up and even he has let slip that an autumn budget is a “working assumption”. Hunt is a gradualist who finetooth-combs figures, not a Chancellor likely to bound into the prime ministerial flat next door waving a plan for a fast tax-lowering mini-Budget in just over two months.
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