Polling and data expert Nate Silver revealed the results of his first election forecast on Wednesday, which showed Donald Trump was favored to win.
Polling and data guru Nate Silver revealed former President Trump was solidly favored to win the White House in his first presidential election forecast on Wednesday. 'The candidate who I honest-to-God think has a better chance isn’t the candidate I’d rather have win ,' Silver, who formerly ran polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight, wrote in his 'Silver Bulletin' substack. Silver's forecast model, based on 40,000 simulations, found Trump had a 65.
Silver said earlier this month that the Democratic Party would have been 'better served' if Biden decided not to seek a second term. 'Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there's some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don't know. But it's more than fair to ask,' Silver posted on June 10.
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