The next five years will almost certainly be the hottest on record, the UN’s weather agency said, warning of looming challenges to the environment, human health and our supplies of food and water.
Global temperatures are set to soar to record levels in the next five years and exceed the key climate threshold of 1.5C for the first time, the World Meteorological Organization predicted Wednesday, as it warned humanity is entering “uncharted territory” that will impact our health, food and water security and the environment.... [+]There is a 66% chance global temperatures will cross the critical climate threshold of 1.
The prediction also marks the first time the agency believes heating will be more likely than not to exceed the threshold after itExperts believe limiting global heating to 1.5C can help avoid the worst impacts of climate change and most countries in the world, including the United States, committed to pursuing this goal when they signed the historic Paris climate agreement.
Hitting or passing the threshold in one or several years does not mean the Paris limit—which refers to warming on a longer time scale—has been permanently broken, stressed WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas, adding that the agency is “sounding the alarm” that we will breach the threshold temporarily and “with increasing frequency.”
The chances of temporarily exceeding the 1.5C limit have been increasing since 2015, the WMO said, rising from almost zero to around 10% between 2017 and 2021.The next few years are almost certain to be some of the hottest on record, the WMO report said. Specifically, the agency said there’s a 98% chance that one of the next five years will be the warmest on record, as well as a 98% chance the average temperature for the full five-year span will be hotter than that for the preceding five years.
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