Much has been written about the high stakes involved in this year's census and rightly so: The once-a-decade national population tally is a key building block for drawing political maps and for fairly allocating billions of dollars in federal aid.
Six months into the decennial census, almost 63% of California households have responded to the questionnaires seeking information on family members, age, race and ethnicity. That puts the state,But a team of researchers fromnotes that number is lagging the state’s final response rate in 2010 — and that was during a census that, for political and public health reasons, was easier to conduct.
“Lower self-response now makes it likely that in-person outreach will carry more of the burden to ensure everyone gets counted, and in-person counting will likely be more complex than in the days before the pandemic,” the PPIC researchersRural California counties have the lowest response rates so far, but also trailing the statewide average are counties such as Los Angeles, Riverside and San Bernardino. Valley counties such as Kern and Fresno also are below average.
COVID-19 rates in some of these communities could present a historic high hurdle for in-person census efforts. California state government has invested heavily in a public outreach campaign, and the work will only get harder once the self-response period for the census ends in mid-August. “The COVID-19 crisis has upended the carefully laid plans for the 2020 census in ways that might have disproportionate effects on California’s count,” PPIC researcherat the outset of the pandemic. “The Census Bureau is making important adjustments, but California needs to be particularly vigilant about the potential consequences.”
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