“Our best estimate is going up, and we see these protracted, long peaks in some states.”
mortality data from Johns Hopkins University along with data from the World Health Organization and governments across the world., along with death rates falling more slowly.that “We’re also seeing signs in the mobility data that people are getting more active, and that’s also feeding into our assessment.”
New York, Massachusetts, Michigan, Connecticut and Texas are the five states forecast to have the biggest increase in deaths in the model’s update. The update also says seven states are peaking in COVID-19 deaths or will experience longer peaks in the coming weeks: Hawaii, Mississippi, Texas, Wyoming, Nebraska and North Dakota. Monday but many owners there feel it’s too early or unsafe to do so.“Our forecast now is for 74,000 deaths. That’s our best estimate,” Murray told CNN. “The range is pretty wide because there’s a lot of unknown factors there, but our best estimate is going up, and we see these protracted, long peaks in some states.
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