Canadian dollar seen up in one year if economy avoids hard landing: Reuters poll

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Canadian dollar seen up in one year if economy avoids hard landing: Reuters poll
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The Canadian dollar is set to rally over the coming year, if the economy avoids a hard landing, a Reuters poll recently showed

Since early March the Canadian currency has rallied about 3% against its U.S. counterpart as worries the global banking crisis would lead to a credit crunch eased and the U.S. dollar lost ground against a basket of major currencies.

The median forecast of nearly 50 currency analysts was for the loonie to weaken to 1.35 per U.S. dollar in three months' time, compared to 1.34 expected in last month's forecast. But it was then expected to rally to 1.30 in a year, which is a gain of 3.5%. "But if the U.S. becomes particularly precarious, if lending conditions tighten significantly ... then we could have a little more problems globally."is ready to step in with support if the banking system comes under severe strain, but now it is not even close to being worried about the health of the financial system, Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle said last Wednesday.

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