The bulk of this week’s polling data tells the same story: Joe Biden leads Pres. Trump nationally by around 8-11 percentage points among registered voters. Via FiveThirtyEight:
at the beginning of the summer, there hasn’t been a lot of action in the race. The campaign is not dominating the headlines, and Trump’s handling of the pandemic — which. However, the party conventions start in one month, and we can probably expect the presidential campaign to command people’s attention between then and November, pandemic or no.
And, of course, developments in the coronavirus crisis — or some other breaking news story that we can’t predict yet, like a scandal — could cause voters to view the candidates in a different light. While Biden’s current lead is robust enough toAs of Thursday at 2 p.m. Eastern. Ignoring, for now, the fact that Maine and Nebraska split their electoral votes by congressional district. A few non-swing states haven’t seen any polls so far this year and thus don’t have polling averages; we’re assuming they will vote for the same party they did in 2016.
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