With a snowy weekend ahead, Juneau’s urban avalanche forecasting begins

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With a snowy weekend ahead, Juneau’s urban avalanche forecasting begins
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In Juneau, avalanche paths threaten multiple neighborhoods and roads. City Emergency Planning Manager Tom Mattice updates the urban avalanche advisory at 8 a.m. daily throughout the season. Updates will be live starting this Saturday.

at 8 a.m. daily throughout the season, with ratings on a danger scale that runs from 1 to 5. Updates will be live starting this Saturday.

Forecasting avalanches can be complex. Mattice monitors snow accumulation over the season and keeps close track of daily weather forecasts. He also measures the snowpack with frequent field trips to look for weak snow layers.“It starts with what’s on the ground in the mountains,” Mattice said. “As we start seeing more and more snow in the terrain, those things start getting buried, and the more they get buried, and the wider areas you’d have, that are smooth and flat, the bigger your starting zones become,” Mattice said.

The city only forecasts for urban avalanche risk, but Mattice said that can be a good proxy for people venturing out into the backcountry, or even on the Flume Trail and Upper Perseverance Trail near downtown. When urban avalanche risk is high, backcountry risk will be even more extreme.

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