In New York, a number of legal probes into Trump and his allies could pose a political threat to the president heading into Election Day
. And its pricey legal fights haven’t subsided, indicating its legal spending since then has likely only grown.“They were a nonfactor in 2018,” one person close to the gun group told POLITICO. “They’re going to be an even bigger nonfactor in 2020, financially.”, the NRA just spent just $9.5 million on federal elections. And thus far for 2020, the group’s spending doesn’t look impressive. In June 2016, the NRA spent more than $5 million.
And another challenge could be maintaining the confidence of major donors. The association is arguing that the allegations in James’ lawsuit are fanciful, and that the private jets and yacht trips were for the good for the NRA. It’s an open question as to whether that defense will persuade the group’s major donors to keep giving.
Given the public excoriation the department faced for its eleventh-hour revelations in 2016 about Hillary Clinton’s emails, any announcement of criminal charges against major figures in the days before Election Day 2020 seems unlikely. Barr has downplayed expectations for such prosecutions, but Simultaneously, the Southern District of New York has been scrutinizing Rudy Giuliani — who has represented both Trump and his campaign — in connection with potential violations of foreign lobbying laws. It’s not clear whether Barr, known to be no fan of Giuliani, would deem a prosecution of the president’s attorney to fall afoul of his memo.at the Supreme Court last month in his quest for financial information about Trump and his businesses.
While it’s possible that federal prosecutors in New York probing Giuliani and his associates could make news before the election, the window on that possibility is closing. But those norms on preelection law enforcement action don’t constrain state and local officials. And a spokesperson for Vance confirmed to POLITICO that his office does not have any comparable 60-day blackout period for moves that could potentially shape elections.
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