Here's why the Tokyo Olympic organizers have not canceled or moved the Olympics, and what will happen when they do:
After weeks of hard maintenance of the position that the Games would be neither postponed nor cancelled, this scaling back of the torch relay was the first tiny Olympic blink, so to speak, as the Games move inexorably face-to-face with the pandemic. It wasn't a huge concession. The Games, we are told, will go on. Unfortunately for the Japanese, and for all of us, so will the pandemic.... [+]
Understandably, there's a growing chorus questioning the doggedness of the Japanese in the matter of putting the Games on as scheduled. The epidemiological reasons are obvious: pernicious and hardy enough to rebuff treatment, SARS-CoV-2 is agile, jumping continent-to-continent at speed. It hasn't hit every continent simultaneously, and its lifespan in the world's kaleidoscopic collection of cultures is by no means uniform.
The timing — of each country's viral endgame — will be crucial in determining who, if anybody, is able to show up for the Games. Tokyo is a long haul for some teams. It is not as if teams show up on the night of July 23, pop some melatonin, and show up for competition the next day. Most teams like a runup of at least a couple of weeks for their athletesand in the atmosphere of the Games, which is to say, early July, or three-and-a-half months from the Games.
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