Polling experts have cast doubt on the Prime Minister's claim that the result of the next general election remains in the balance
Polling experts have cast doubt on the Prime Minister's claim that the result of the next general election remains in the balanceConservative ministers are adamant that the upcoming general election is not yet a lost cause – claiming last week’s local elections show Labour is not: “These results suggest we are heading for a hung parliament with Labour as the largest party. Keir Starmer propped up in Downing Street by the SNP, Liberal Democrats and the Greens would be a disaster for Britain.
Both the Lib Dems and the Greens outperformed their showing in opinion polls – suggesting there may be a large pool of people who will back the smaller parties at a local level but vote Labour when it comes to the general election, in order to get the Tories out of power. That has long been at the heart of the Tory election message – that in a straight fight between Mr Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer, voters will end up rejecting the Labour leader.But Ben Page of polling firm Ipsos told Times Radio: “Keir Starmer isn’t particularly popular, but it’s always compared to what, if you look at how people rate Keir Starmer as best possible candidate for being Prime Minister with Rishi Sunak, he’s got double the score of Rishi Sunak.
Other problems with the Ralling and Thrasher analysis include that the fact that it takes no account of potential changes in Scotland, where opinion polls currently suggest Labour could take well over 20 seats off the SNP.
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