When exactly will India surpass China as most populous?

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When exactly will India surpass China as most populous?
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Both China and India have more than 1.4 billion people, and combined they make up more than a third of the world's 8 billion people.

in the world since at least 1950, the year United Nations population data began. Both China and India have more than 1.4 billion people, and combined they make up more than a third of the world's 8 billion people.

Not long ago, India wasn't expected to become most populous until later this decade. But the timing has been sped up by a drop in China's fertility rate, with families having fewer children.Demographers at the U.N. Population Division make estimates based on projections from a wide variety of data sources to get what they believe are the most up-to-date demographic numbers.

China's last census was in 2020. Demographers used birth and death records, along with other administrative data, to calculate how the population has grown since then. Andrea Wojnar, the United Nations Population Fund's representative for India, said the agency is confident in the survey's numbers “because it uses a very robust methodology.”China has an aging population with stagnant growth even after the government seven years ago retreated from a one-child policy, and just two years ago said couples could have three children.

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