A new iron fist should confer an advantage over Russia, but the stakes are rising
have a range of 70-84km. At first they caused mayhem in Russia’s rear areas, but it has since re-organised itself to keep targets out of range. The Pentagon refuses to supply the 300km-rangemissile that can be fired from the same launchers, deeming it escalatory. America and Ukraine “agree to disagree” aboutMr Kahl concedes that Ukraine needs the means to wage “the deep fight”.
Control of Crimea allows Russia to choke Ukrainian ports and supply its forces in southern Ukraine. Losing it would be a severe military and, perhaps more important, political blow to Vladimir Putin, Russia’s president, General Hodges notes. But that is also why some allies are queasy about Ukraine trying to retake it, fearing it might push Mr Putin to resort to nuclear weapons.
Talk of retaking Crimea seems premature to some. “Look at the map of the current front lines in Ukraine. The Ukrainians would have to first achieve significant military success in the south before Crimea is up for discussion,” notes Michael Kofman of, a think-tank. Like General Hodges, he agrees that the focus for Ukraine should be on precision weapons, equipping new units and manoeuvre warfare. Unlike him, though, he thinks further gains will be more difficult and costly for Ukraine to attain.
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