'The United States and Iran are reportedly inching closer to striking a deal to restore the 2015 nuclear agreement' writes ianbremmer. Here's what that could look like
, Iran can afford to punt on making a final decision while it tries to extract additional concessions from the U.S.
The problem is that the longer that talks drag on without a breakthrough, the more Iran’s nuclear program advances and the closer the U.S. gets to presidential elections, making an agreement less useful for both sides. At the same time, both Washington and Tehran have an interest in keeping the prospect of a deal alive even if they have no intention of striking one. For Biden, publicly giving up on negotiations would be admitting defeat on an important foreign policy priority and put pressure on him to implement the Trump-era sanctions. For Iran, it would invite greater international sanctions, weaken the economy, and increase the risk that continued nuclear advancements will trigger a military conflict.
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