7 lessons for managing your retirement accounts in this — or any other — erratic market.
1. You really can’t time the market and shouldn’t try. Those who panicked and cashed out just missed a massive, 10% single day jump. And this happens in every crash. Dalbar, a financial analysis company, calculates that ordinary investors have on average missed out on most of the stock market’s long term gains over the past 30 or more years.
3. Watch out for history repeating itself still more. Historically, the biggest one-day stock market jumps have also taken place during bear markets where the stock market then resumed falling again. Since 1900, 14 of the stock market’s 20 best days have been during bear markets, where prices kept falling.
5. The rally doesn’t mean good news for the economy just yet. When that happens we’re likely to see a slump in the price of so-called “safe haven” assets, such as Treasury bonds, Treasury inflation-protected securities, also known as TIPS, and gold. Instead, Treasury and TIPS prices barely moved on Tuesday from their brace-for-impact levels, and gold jumped 10%. Treasury bonds are offering interest rates of less than 1% for another 10 years.
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