The Wall Street consensus after the Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluded Wednesday was equally cautious.
"Our banks analysts see a meaningful increase in funding costs ahead, which would lead to tighter lending standards, slower loan growth, and wider loan spreads," Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, said in a client note.
Though the FOMC's "dot plot" pointed to one more hike, taking the terminal rate to 5.1%, traders on Thursday weren't buying it. Futures contracts showed a 66% probability that the Fed would stay put at the May meeting, according to the CME Group's FedWatch indicator . From there, the market expects the Fed to hold steady in June and then start cutting in July.
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