Despite bragging about ending the uprising in Russia, Belarusian strongman Lukashenko may have set himself up for political instability, a U.S. ambassador tells The Daily Beast.
in Russia, he might have set himself up for political instability, a top U.S. diplomat tells The Daily Beast.exiled to Belarus—and potentially having Wagner fighters move to Belarus—there are likely elite Belarusian politicians in Lukashenko’s circle who are eyeing the outcome of his negotiations with great distaste, U.S. Ambassador Michael Carpenter told The Daily Beast.
“You’ve got an armed mercenary group that has proven that it’s willing to take on the very power that sustained it for a long period of time. It doesn’t seem like a very good move” to have them inside Belarus, Carpenter said. “It certainly doesn’t seem like a great idea for anyone inside Belarus.” The mutiny in Russia, which represents perhaps the greatest challenge to Putin’s grip on power ever, has left the power dynamics and stability of the entire region up in the air. It’s unknown where Wagner mercenaries will go in the coming days and weeks, and it’s unknown where Prigozhin is at this time.“What does this change? I think it’s a little too early to tell,” Carpenter said.
Lukashenko has long been beholden to Putin’s political whims. But in previous years, Lukashenko has wanted to maintain some openness to the West and wiggle out from underneath Putin’s influence, former U.S. officials who have tried to work with Lukashenko have told The Daily Beast. “Lukashenko is trying very hard to show the world that Belarus is still a sovereign country, that there’s still some independent action that he can take, which is very limited,” Farkas added.
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