Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's ruling coalition was projected to stay in power in Sunday's election, but his party suffered steep losses, potentially weakening him just weeks into the job of leading the world's no.3 economy.
"The thing I'm most surprised by is how well Ishin has done. I think Yoshimura developed a major national profile, which I think has also served as a tailwind for the party overall."
"The numbers that I'm very interested in seeing are voter turnout for those under 40. I think the starkest divide that we saw, including in the party leader debates, was on social-cultural values and the environment. I think Kishida is going to have to think very hard about whether or not he wants to corral members of his own party to support or at least not openly oppose legislation to move Japan towards a more progressive direction.
"Whether the Japan Innovation party joins or not will make a difference not so much to foreign policy but domestic economic policy. They are going to block Kishida's new capitalism idea of narrowing the rich-poor income gap."I believe chances are next to nothing that some moves will come forth within the party to take down Kishida. I expect he will remain in his post."
“But maybe he’ll emphasise economic security given that it’s being promoted by Amari. , it would be quite dramatic. I don’t recall any LDP secretary general losing his seat, at least in the single-member district. It would be a huge blow for the LDP. That would be quite embarrassing.""The coalition itself won't fall apart and the government will remain, but even given this, the number of seats they have is definitely decreasing and this could make managing parliament difficult.
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