U.S. jobless claims dip below 2 million, road to recovery rocky

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U.S. jobless claims dropped below 2 million last week

) have announced layoffs, while some big retailers like JC Penney and high-end chain Neiman Marcus have filed for bankruptcy. States and local governments, whose budgets have been decimated by the COVID-19 fight, are also cutting jobs.

The unemployment rate is forecast to rocket to 19.8%, a post-World War Two record, from 14.7% in April. The weekly jobless claims report, the most timely data on the economy’s health, could become difficult to parse in the weeks ahead. Initial claims are recorded when a person submits a first application for unemployment benefits. Once approved, they become continuing claims and are reported with a one-week lag.

The government also extended regular state jobless benefits by another 13 weeks under a program called Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation . Roughly 30 states are now reporting PUA claims on a weekly basis, but PEUC figures are reported with a two-week lag.

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