Byron York is chief political correspondent for the Washington Examiner and a Fox News contributor. He has covered the Bush, Obama, Trump, and now Biden administrations, as well as Congress and each presidential campaign since 2000. He is the author of The Vast Left Wing Conspiracy, an account of liberal activism in the 2004 election.
TRUMP'S LEAD AND GOP DECISION-MAKING. Former President Donald Trump's support now stands at 59% among Republican voters nationwide in the 2024 presidential nomination race. His lead over Gov. Ron DeSantis , still the second-place candidate in the race, is 46.3 points. Both Trump's support and the size of his lead are the biggest they have ever been.
Subscribe today to the Washington Examiner magazine that will keep you up to date with what's going on in Washington. SUBSCRIBE NOW: Just $1.00 an issue! Then there is the presidential race. Trump's opponents inside the GOP desperately want some of the candidates to quit to allow non-Trump Republicans to unite behind a single challenger to Trump. They used to want that challenger to be DeSantis. Now, many want the challenger to be Nikki Haley, who now stands 51.2 points behind Trump in the national polls.
That's why we're not seeing the candidate withdrawals that some anti-Republicans have sought. If you're in the race and you're not Trump, the second way of thinking is so much more appealing: This can't last, and what I need to do is stay in the game long enough for things to change. Then, maybe, I'll have a chance.
By this time in the 2016 Republican campaign, the last time there was a wide-open primary season, two major candidates, Rick Perry and Scott Walker, had already quit. On the day he dropped out, Perry was about 27 points behind front-running Trump, who stood at 29.8%. When Walker quit, he was about 25 points behind Trump, who was then at 28.5%.
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