We aren't experiencing a 'second wave' of infections in places like Arizona and Texas right now. That's because we're still in the first wave.
The recent surge of COVID-19 cases in states like Arizona and Texas are not indicative of a “second wave” of infections; they are part of the initial rolling waves of cases that had previously impacted hard-hit places like Illinois, New Jersey, and New York.
Read: U.S. death toll tops 115,000 amid growing worry about uptick in cases in Florida, Texas among others Many of the predictions for a second wave have anticipated that it would hit in the fall, if it does occur, either due to a change in the season or people spending more time indoors, where the virus is thought to be more easily transmitted. To correctly characterize a second wave in the future, there would need to be a rise in cases, a peak, a plateau, and then a decline now before a resurgence, according to Wen, who previously served as the health commissioner of Baltimore.
Daily infection rates are about 5.0% in Arizona and about 2.3% in Texas, “indicating that “state-specific issues may be in play rather than a generalized problem of community spread,” according to the analysts.
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