There is room for a continued selloff in U.S. Treasurys which has already pushed 10- and 30-year yields to their highest levels since 2007 and 2011,...
There is room for a continued selloff in U.S. Treasurys which has already pushed 10- and 30-year yields to their highest levels since 2007 and 2011, according to researchers at Barclays.
A number of factors are contributing to the changing dynamics — including data showing a resilient U.S. economy; the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting which revealed the possibility of more interest rate hikes to come; and higher real or inflation-adjusted yields. The 10- BX:TMUBMUSD10Y and 30-year Treasury yields BX:TMUBMUSD30Y have respectively jumped by 29.6 basis points and 23.3 basis points over the six-day trading period that ended on Thursday.
“An economy growing above trend, potentially even accelerating, despite the tightening of policy, calls into question whether monetary policy is even tight,” Pradhan and others wrote. “Markets are reacting to this by adjusting real yields higher.”
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