The group that won Trump the election in 2016 may win it for him again in 2024

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The group that won Trump the election in 2016 may win it for him again in 2024
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President Joe Biden continues to be plagued by approval ratings well below 50%. Under normal circumstances, that might be worrying for an incumbent heading into his reelection year. But Biden likes to rely on a common refrain: “Don’t compare me to the Almighty, compare me to the alternative.”

In other words, Biden may not be the most likable guy, yet voters will prefer him to whomever Republicans put up. There’s just one problem with Biden’s thinking: The polling shows he could be fundamentally wrong and it could cost him the election next year. Right now, the likely Republican alternative to Biden in a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup appears to be Donald Trump. The former president leads every GOP primary poll by a wide margin, including our latest CNN/SSRS survey.

But recent polls from Quinnipiac University and The New York Times/Siena College also examined similar groups – those who liked neither man or those who disliked both. Both polls found Trump with a single-digit advantage and a lot of voters who said they wouldn’t vote for either likely major-party nominee.

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