As the Israel-Hamas war continues to escalate, Israel's natural gas future is looking increasingly uncertain.
When it discovered the Tamar and Leviathan gas fields offshore in the Mediterranean’s Levant Basin, Israel gained lots of regional diplomatic leverage overnight. Soon, it would and did have gas, both for domestic use and export, giving it a status it had never known before. Tel Aviv has used that gas to build powerful relations in the region, and relations have been on a path toward normalization ever since. In 2022, Israel signed a gas deal with Egypt for natural gas exports to Europe.
5 Bcm/year of gas, with more on the way–as long as Hezbollah doesn’t turn the screws here, as it has threatened to do. Hezbollah claims its missiles can reach Karish. In Q3 2021, after normalizing relations with the UAE the year before, Israel signed a $1B gas trade deal with the UAE for 22% of Tamar’s production. Israel has been selling its gas to Jordanian industrial facilities, which is a major feat for on-again-off-again enemies with extremely fragile diplomatic ties.
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