Picking the right title winner is an essential part of filling out any bracket ByPatForde ranks the 10 likeliest men’s teams to cut down the nets
Everyone who scored a point in the Bruins’ epic Final Four loss to Gonzaga is still around, and there is a sense that they’ve been waiting for March to ratchet their play up again to the level it was in the 2021 tournament. Only one UCLA starter and two of its top nine players have appeared in every game this season, as Mick Cronin has juggled lineups through a series of nagging injuries.
Last time the Final Four was in New Orleans, Kentucky won its last title behind Anthony Davis in 2012. This team also has athough he is a different sort of player. When Kentucky’s guards are hitting shots and distributing around Tshiebwe, the Wildcats can be dominant—ask Kansas, which lost at home to Kentucky by 18 in late January. But the perimeter performers all have been fickle in recent weeks, coming and going.
Behold the Hawkeyes, longtime March lightweights, now suddenly knocking people around. Iowa hasn’t advanced beyond the second round of the NCAA tournament since the 1990s, and last year’s rout at the hands of Oregon as No. 2 still resonates. But these Hawkeyes have shown something different—they won their first Big Ten tournament title since 2006, they were surging instead of staggering in February, and when they are hot they can bury anyone.
The top six offensive teams in the KenPom rankings are among the 10 title contenders listed here, which tells you the way the sport is trending. But don’t completely disregard the importance of defense—and if stops still matter, then the Red Raiders are definite contenders. They are the best defensive team in the country, physical and relentless at that end under first-year coach Mark Adams.
The Hogs were a tough out last year, advancing through a succession of cliff-hangers to the regional final before falling to eventual champion Baylor. This year’s team bears many similarities, starting with deluxe athleticism, great confidence and fierce competitiveness. They don’t shoot it well—especially from deep—but they get to the foul line and can be spectacular in transition. They defend vigorously. J.D. Notae doesn’t have great shooting percentages, but tends to make big ones.
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