An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
” early Thu. but is expected to be short-lived with no threat to land areas as Jose will soon be absorbed by the much larger circulation that is Franklin.- is over the far Eastern Atlantic. This system will soon be “Katia” but will stay over the far Eastern Atlantic.will move west off of Africa over the weekend. This wave has a good chance to develop over the main development region through next week & could become a textbook long track hurricane.
Check out the upper oceanic heat content [tropical cyclone heat potential/TCHP] across the SW Atlantic, Gulf & Caribbean. The warmth is very deep. But keep in mind warm ocean temps. alone doesn’t necessarily equate to a “big” hurricane season but it’s obvious there is a lot of very warm water at great depths over the Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico:Averages below based on climatology for the Atlantic Basin for August:Saharan dust spreads west each year from Africa by the prevailing winds .
Deep oceanic heat content over the Gulf, Caribbean & deep tropical Atlantic. The brighter colors are expanding dramatically as we near the peak of the hurricane season.:Surface analysis of the Gulf:for 24, 48 & 72 hours respectively:
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