Organising diehard Assad loyalists – puppets whose strings are controlled by the regime’s elite – to challenge Russia is likely a sign of desperation, the final tool at the disposal of a terrified Syrian regime leader Opinion|NizarMohamad1
in its attempt to rewrite the narrative, recast the actors, and above all, change the plotline. But now, Assad hardliners have added another layer of complexity to Russia’s campaign. Their public rebuke of Putin, an initiative almost certainly organised at the behest of high-ranking members of the regime, sends a stern signal to Moscow. They are being cunningly reminded that even the thought of removing Assad will prompt fierce resistance from his diehard loyalists.
This is perhaps the crux of the strategic crisis Russia faces in Syria. Too much reform, and the regime’s cronies, especially those who see their fate as intertwined with that of Assad’s, will bite back. Not enough reform, and Moscow’s objective of fashioning a cohesive regime in Damascus that functions in its service – and not the other way around – will remain elusive. The
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