Sweden's economy is slowing and the central bank will be forced to keep the...
STOCKHOLM - Sweden’s economy is slowing and the central bank will be forced to keep the benchmark interest rate at the current level of -0.25% for the next couple of years, the NIER think-tank said in a forecast on Wednesday.Sweden has enjoyed years of strong growth, but the effects of a trade spat between the United States and China and worries over Brexit are finally having an impact and recent data points to a relatively rapid slowdown.
The NIER forecast growth would slow to 1.2% this year from 2.3% in 2018 and ease further in 2020. It saw inflation averaging 1.7% this year and 1.5% in 2020.In early September, the Riksbank repeated its forecast of a rate hike late this year or early next and rate-setters have mainly stuck to that view since.
“The bank can ignore temporary swings in inflation as long as expectations are anchored at the target, and the downward trend is thus a concern for the Riksbank, supporting our view of a rate cut around the turn of the year,” Nordea economist Torbjorn Isaksson said.
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