Super Bowl 2023 odds and projections before NFL Week 6: Every team’s playoff chances

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Super Bowl 2023 odds and projections before NFL Week 6: Every team’s playoff chances
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  • 📰 The Athletic UK
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Austin Mock's NFL model gives out its chances for each team to make the playoffs this year.

Welcome to my updated Super Bowl and playoff projections for the season. If you’re new here, I project the score for every game and the win percentage for every team using my betting model. The model phases out older data and uses data from this year as the season progresses. We then run that simulation 100,000 times after each day of games to give us our Super Bowl odds and projections from my NFL model.

Factor in that they already have two losses to AFC teams and the will be pushing them in the division for the entire season and the Bills have a lot of work cut out for them. How has your model adjusted to the hot start from the Dolphins? The Dolphins are now up to third in Super Bowl odds, ahead of the Eagles in Cowboys in the Top 5. I’m skeptical of their defense, but the offense is electric. As long as Tua and stay healthy, the Dolphins will be a tough out.

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