South Africa’s main opposition sees coalitions ahead

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South Africa’s main opposition sees coalitions ahead
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Polls suggest that in local elections on November 1st the ANC will win less than half of the vote nationally for the first time

In Britain works by Mr Cameron are perhaps more common in charity shops than in politicians’ offices. But Mr Steenhuisen is looking ahead to when the African National Congress falls below 50% in a general election. Though the next one is not until 2024, local elections on November 1st may serve as a bellwether. Polls suggest thewill win less than half of the vote in a nationwide election for the first time.

This muddle has hurt the party’s brand. It lost hundreds of thousands of Afrikaner voters in 2019 without adding many black ones. “Thehas a major trust issue,” says Dawie Scholtz, a psephologist. He notes that, in focus groups, voters often say they like certain policies but change their minds when they learn the proposals are from the. “The distrust is racial: it is based on distrust about whether the party actually wants to deliver for black people.”feel that the party is treated unfairly.

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