Social acceptance of geothermal energy: Visualizing consensus building using models tohoku_univ SciReports
, illuminated how the diverse opinions of stakeholders converge to consensus through a series of personal interactions.Japan has abundant geothermal potential, yet the total capacity of geothermal power plants has remained largely unchanged for more than a decade. Further development of geothermal energy initiatives has been thwarted by the country's reliance on nuclear power and by competing local interests.
Previous modeling of attitudes towards geothermal development in communities have fallen short of capturing people's diverse opinions. The Tohoku University researchers aimed to increase model validity."Data-driven parameterization is needed to assess the opinion dynamics in local communities in which the characteristics of eachTheir study used agent-based modeling to simulate how stakeholders form opinions as they interact. First, agents choose their interaction partners.
If the model is run repeatedly, consensus is eventually achieved around geothermal development as long as opinions evolve through personal interactions."In this model, the opinions of agents approach each other...and finally converge to a consensus if there are no special conditions, such as the presence of agents who maintain their opinion," says Tsuchiya.
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