Sobering COVID-19 study prompted Britain to toughen its approach

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Sobering COVID-19 study prompted Britain to toughen its approach
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A crucial projection study that helped convince the British government to impose more stringent measures to contain coronavirus painted a worst case picture of hundreds of thousands of deaths and a health service overwhelmed with severely sick patients

LONDON - A crucial projection study that helped convince the British government to impose more stringent measures to contain COVID-19 painted a worst case picture of hundreds of thousands of deaths and a health service overwhelmed with severely sick patients.

The modelling study, by a team led by Neil Ferguson, a professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College London, used new data gathered from Italy where the infectious disease epidemic has surged in recent weeks. With the measures outlined - including extreme social distancing and advice to avoid clubs, pubs and theatres - the epidemic’s curve and peak could be flattened, the scientists said.

“We continue to follow the science and act on the advice of the experts, which is that we are bringing in these more substantial measures slightly faster than we originally planned,” the source said.See more stories

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