Equities and fixed-income markets have diverged in December, suggesting that investors’ preoccupation with inflation is fading
SHARE YOUR THOUGHTSPivotal economic data coming this week will help investors gauge the outlook. Tuesday morning, investors will be watching the release of November’sfor signs that inflation has continued to cool off from multidecade highs notched earlier this year. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal are expecting the figures to show a 7.3% year-over-year rise in prices, down from 7.7% a month earlier.
Then, Wednesday afternoon will bring the Fed’s latest decision on interest rates. Traders are confident that the central bank will ease the pace of its tightening by raising rates by , according to CME’s FedWatch tool, but they will be paying close attention to Fed officials’ projections about how rates are likely to move next year.good news for economic growth was taken as bad news
for stock and bond investors worried about more rate increases, said Cindy Beaulieu, a managing director at asset manager Conning. Now, that pattern could weaken, she said. “In both the stock and the bond market, you’re coming around to the idea that you have a much higher risk of a recession next year,” Ms. Beaulieu said.In 2021, officials thought that high inflation would be temporary. But a year later, it was still near a four-decade high. WSJ’s Jon Hilsenrath explains three factors that have kept inflation up for longer than expected.
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