As the conflict in Ukraine enters its third year, its implications for East Asian policymakers grow starker. A win for Putin might embolden China to reshape the regional order on its terms, with Taiwan being the most affected. China has been increasing military activities near Taiwan, raising concerns about a potential invasion.
Russia invaded Ukraine it jolted the democracies of East Asia — Taiwan , Japan and South Korea , all allies of America. A trip to Japan suggests to Banyan that, as the conflict in Ukraine enters its third year, its implications for East Asia n policymakers grow only starker. In Europe the talk is of whether Ukraine can hold on despite dwindling American financial support and the spectre of a second Trump presidency. The consequences for peace in Asia would be devastating if Ukraine loses.
A win for President Vladimir Putin might embolden China to reshape the regional order on its terms. The implications are greatest for Taiwan. China wants to absorb it, by force if necessary. To Taiwanese the parallels between what Mr Putin is doing to Ukraine and what China’s Xi Jinping might do to Taiwan are stark—especially as the two men claim a friendship with “no limits”. China has been upping the military tempo with incursions into Taiwan’s air and sea space. In response, in August the Taiwanese government unveiled a record defence budget, equivalent to
Russia Ukraine East Asia Taiwan Japan South Korea Conflict Implications Policymakers Putin China Regional Order Invasion Military Activities
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