Risks of a lame duck US presidency and a new Kamala Harris wild card

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Risks of a lame duck US presidency and a new Kamala Harris wild card
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Mr Joe Biden’s pullout from the presidential race stokes worries about a power vacuum regarding global affairs.

Mr Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the presidential race has cast the spotlight on wider worries about what Washington’s role in global affairs could be in next six months.SINGAPORE – At a time of war, the key thing preventing Israel from launching a fresh offensive against Gaza is firm US restraint.

In the Middle East, even before Mr Biden’s announcement, the Israelis may have been tempted to gloss over US mediation attempts. As Donald Trump’s poll numbers ticked up in recent weeks, some believed Israel should hold off any long-term commitments as a freer hand in shaping developments seemed on the cards.

Professor Joseph Liow, the Tan Kah Kee chair in comparative and international politics at NTU’s S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, notes: “Adversaries will be seeking opportunities to press their positions for any advantage.”Historically, a weak Jimmy Carter presidency delayed resolution of the 1979 Iran hostage crisis, as the Iranians attempted to play the Carter administration off Mr Ronald Reagan’s campaign, releasing the hostages mere minutes after Mr Reagan’s inauguration.

Asian responses, however, were more measured and focused on emphasising national interests of a stable bilateral alliance or keeping bilateral relations on an even keel.among US, Japan and South Korea, as well as continued support of a peaceful resolution in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait, US actions at times have been controversial.

On one level, this speaks to the incredible foreign policy machinery commandeered by National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, whose doctrine, outlined in an October 2023 article in Foreign Affairs, sets out fundamental tenets and organising principles for Democrat-appointed diplomats to heed.

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