The Republican Party should hope for higher-turnout elections, while the Democratic Party should fear them.
those who had voted in multiple elections since 2018 were more likely to vote for Democrats, while those who had voted in fewer elections were more likely to vote for Republicans.by the University of Pennsylvania and features astonishing results that greatly challenge conventional thinking on voter turnout. Furthermore, these results hold true across all demographics.
The pattern holds true across racial groups, too. Among eligible black voters who have not voted since 2018, Biden beats Trump 42%-32% — a far cry from the 86% that backs Biden among black voters who have voted at least three times in the same time span. Among Hispanic voters, Trump runs dead even with Biden with every group except those who voted at least three times, with Biden winning those voters 54%-35%.
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