Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves shows how difficult it would be to achieve herd immunity.
But Reeves spelled out on Twitter what that would mean in reality and concluded with a blunt call for people to wear masks in public.
“I’ve listened to some people argue that the rapid spread of cases is a good thing, and we need to reach herd immunity in Mississippi and elsewhere to survive,” he wrote. “I’m not a health care expert by any means, but I am a math guy.” Then, Reeves crunched the numbers. He noted that experts say herd immunity kicks in when 70 to 80 percent of the population has been infected, but started his hypothetical experiment from an optimistic scenario in which herd immunity took effect at 40 percent:We’d need 1.2 MILLION infections to achieve that hypothetical 40% threshold. Reeves said the state had been seeing 700 to 900 new infections a day, with more than 1,000 new cases on its worst day.
“To get to 40% infections, we’d need 3,187 new cases every day for a full year from today,” he said. “We would need to TRIPLE our worst day ― every day ― for a year.”I’m not one of these guys that immediately dismisses any idea that challenges the expert status quo talking points. I’m pretty skeptical by nature. That’s healthy. But herd immunity is not anything like a realistic solution in the short or mid-term. I wish it was.
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