Changing leaders after the 2019 local election drubbing turned the Tories from losers to general election winners
may use this week’s results as a reason to oust him and give the party a fighting chance when the nationwide poll comes.
This likely contributed to the false sense of security in Downing Street at the time – reinforced by opinion polls – that the then Prime Minister would cruise to an easy victory in the general election just a month later. In 2019, the Conservatives, again under Mrs May, performed badly in the May local elections, when the party lost control of 44 councils and 1,330 seats.That year’s local election results may have been an indicator of voters being unhappy with a chaotic government after nine years in power. The change of leader and prime minister, and a clear policy, was enough to win the election – a thought that will be spurring on Tory plotters this week.
And this week’s results will still be crucial in terms of morale in both the Conservative and Labour parties. “They give a sense of the wider mood music, but because of low turnout, hyper-local issues, and smaller parties acting as disruptors, the importance of local elections can sometimes be overstated, and the analysis sometimes over-played, in terms of their importance for general elections.
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