Can the Federal Reserve slow the economy and crush high inflation without triggering mass layoffs? Top officials at the central bank think they can pull it off.
Most economists predict the U.S. will fall into recession by next year because of rapidly rising interest rates. The Fed is jacking up rates to try to tame the biggest burst of inflation in 40 years.Most economists predict the U.S. will fall into recession by next year because of rapidly rising interest rates. The Fed is jacking up rates to try to tame the biggest burst of inflation in 40 years.
— Loretta Mester, Cleveland Federal Reserve This time might be different, some central bankers suggest. How come? “If so, we could see less of an increase in the unemployment rate than is typical in an economic slowdown,” she added.“I just think firms are still holding onto workers,” he said last week. “If you’ve worked hard for the last year or two years to try to get your staffing back up … it’s quite a change in approach to say you’re going to have a fewer workers.”He points to the record number of job openings per unemployed worker as a sign of just how strong the labor market is.
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