This week’s Quinnipiac poll has Abbott up seven points over O’Rourke. With the border a top priority of the majority polled and likely the only debate between the candidates, O’Rourke has a lot of ground to make up.
that reignited school safety and gun rights debates, the survey showed the border is the top priority for those polled in Texas. The debate will be held on the evening of September 30."This is an opportunity for him to distance himself from President Biden, to offer criticism of Biden’s approach on the border," Wilson said.
O'Rourke told FOX 4 in August he thinks President Biden is not doing enough to combat the record surge at the southern border. About 38% of those surveyed by Quinnipiac said the border is the most urgent issue in Texas, 17% said abortion and 11% said inflation. Prior to the debate, O'Rourke will hold a press event with families of Uvalde victims lobbying to raise the age to buy an assaultWilson says abortion and the gun debate are part of a good strategy. But all polls show despite the national interest in those topics, Texans care more about the border. "He will have to have something compelling to say about how he as governor would react to the border situation. Otherwise, that major issue will remain unaddressed on his side," he said.
If the trend holds, Wilson and other political scientists say this is Abbott’s race to lose. But if post-debate polling changes, it could be a whole new race. "We see several polls that were to show Abbott’s lead dropping below five points. That would be noteworthy," Wilson said. "Conversely, if we were to see a series of polls after this debate with Abbott’s leads above 10 points, then I think that’s all she wrote.
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