Yevgeny Prigozhin, whose mutiny provoked the worst crisis to roil the country in three decades has been packed off to an uncertain exile. Yet the problems identified by him did not disappear, military analysts say, and are likely to continue to fester.
Sergei ShoiguThe Russian warlord whose 24-hour mutiny provoked the worst crisis to roil the country in three decades has been packed off to an uncertain exile — along with the foul-mouthed critiques of the Russian military that won him legions of followers, especially within the ranks.
“Do you think that guys who ask for scopes, for example, are very flattering about big generals? Of course not,” wrote a military blogger who uses the name “Z-War Geeks” and has more than 760,000 followers on Telegram. However, he said, most soldiers distinguish between their country and the state. “The motherland is unconditional,” he wrote. “You can’t betray it, or lose it.”
This month, the Ministry of Defense moved to assert control over the proliferating number of private military groups, insisting that they all sign contracts by July 1. That helped spark Prigozhin to mutiny, but it also highlighted an issue that to date has been discussed mostly among military bloggers and some Russian news outlets.
“Those people who have money think that it’s an awesome topic now — to collect PMCs,” Prigozhin said in an interview broadcast on Telegram in April, referring to private military companies. U.S. military officials were stunned that an armored column of Wagner forces advanced within 125 miles of Moscow. The mercenaries met no resistance on the ground, but shot down half a dozen Russian military helicopters and an Il-22 airborne command post that engaged the column.
The New York Times reported Tuesday that U.S. officials said that Surovikin had advance knowledge of the uprising, and they were trying to determine if he helped with the planning and if any other senior officers were involved.
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Daniel DePetris: There are no winners in Wagner Group’s thwarted insurrection in RussiaCommentary: Russian President Vladimir Putin and Wagner Group mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin will each try to convince the Russian people that they emerged as the victor. Yet the facts point in a different direction: Putin and Prigozhin both lost.
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