While pollsters sympathize with voters' frustrations, they defend their work as needing minor tweaks, not a fundamental overhaul.
recently."One hundred and fifty polls were done between now and the election in 2016 that showed Donald Trump losing, and the ultimate poll is Election Day."Both Kennedy and Franklin say two large factors complicated the accuracy of the 2016 polls: Many state surveys tended to over-sample college-educated voters and many failed to capture the late-deciding voters .
Pollsters say the candidacy of Libertarian Gary Johnson, who polled at 10% as late as August 2016, probably contributed to the relatively large number of late-breaking deciders since a significant bloc of voters were seeking alternatives to Trump and Clinton. Johnson faded toward the end of the campaign, finishing with less than 3.3% of the vote.has injected uncertainty into the 2020 election as to who will vote and how. But it is expected to ratchet up the amount of early voting in many states.
"People forget that large swaths of our fellow citizens don't vote. But a lot of them still participate in polls," said Kennedy, who led a review of the 2016 polling for the."So there's a big that even the best pollsters struggle to model away."
日本 最新ニュース, 日本 見出し
Similar News:他のニュース ソースから収集した、これに似たニュース記事を読むこともできます。
Biden says he can 'hardly wait' to debate 'stable genius' TrumpPresident Donald Trump and his campaign have also pulled no punches going after Biden&39;s mental sharpness.
続きを読む »
Trump accuses Biden of plagiarizing his economic proposalsPresident Trump today accused Joe Biden of plagiarizing his economic policies, a day after the former VP unveiled a plan to promote American manufacturing and goods
続きを読む »
Biden takes on Trump in speech outlining vision for economy recoveryJoe Biden tore into President Trump on the incumbent's signature issue, the economy, seeking to cast him as a divisive and incompetent leader while unveiling the first major plank of his economic recovery plan.
続きを読む »
Trump Accuses Biden Of ‘Plagiarizing’ His Economic PolicyThe charge, which doesn’t seem credible, harks back to past allegations of plagiarism against the presumptive Democratic candidate, but Team Trump has faced its own plagiarism scandals as well.
続きを読む »
An Unexpected Struggle for Trump: Defining an Elusive BidenPresident Donald Trump won the White House in no small part by seizing on Hillary Clinton&39;s missteps and using them to turn many voters against her. But after three unsteady months, and with the Republican convention six weeks away, Trump is struggling to define Joe Biden to similarly devastating
続きを読む »