In a special report, experts examine the key questions around the Scottish Government's 'Plan B' route to independence
But polling expert Mark Diffley warned the Plan B strategy risked not being recognised.
It is possible the SNP could win a majority of Scottish votes in the next Westminster election, having been “pretty much on the cusp of 50%”, according to Diffley, the founder and director of the Diffley Partnership. Speaking with the Sunday National, Salmond, leader of the Alba party, said he saw “no reason” his two standing MPs should step down to clear the way for the SNP in a “de facto” referendum.
Leith said if the SNP did achieve a majority vote in a general election, the pressure on the UK Government to issue a Section 30 order for an “official” referendum would be “very significant” at that point. Salmond is at odds with the prevailing opinion that Boris Johnson will absolutely not agree to a Section 30 order and called a Supreme Court victory for the Scottish Government “the least possible option”.
“We partially did that in 2014 because the turnout went to 85%. Even by the vast numbers of people who came on to the register for the first time since the poll tax, the turnout in working-class areas was still substantially lower than in middle-class areas.”
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