Mayor Pete surged well ahead of Elizabeth Warren.
Democratic presidential hopeful Pete Buttigieg has overtaken rival Elizabeth Warren in an average of polls focused on Iowa, helped by his strong performance in one survey released over the weekend.
Buttigieg, the South Bend, Ind., mayor, scores 21.0% support in a RealClearPolitics moving average of Iowa polls as of Monday, ahead of 18.8% for Warren and 17.6% for former Vice President Joe Biden, who remains the front-runner in national polls. “Growing fear that Warren could hurt the party down-ticket may be playing a role in her loss of momentum in polls, e.g., where she has seemingly ceded the lead to Mayor Pete Buttigieg in Iowa,” said Capital Alpha Partners analysts in a recent note.
To be sure, a win in the Iowa caucuses doesn’t mean a victory in the overall primary contest. Former Midwestern lawmakers Dick Gephardt and Tom Harkin triumphed in Iowa in 1988 and 1992, respectively, but didn’t become the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee. On the Republican side, the last three Iowa victors — Sen. Ted Cruz in 2016, Rick Santorum in 2012 and Mike Huckabee in 2008 — all saw their White House campaigns go belly-up eventually.
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