Republican Mehmet Oz has narrowed Democrat John Fetterman’s lead in Pennsylvania’s bare-knuckle Senate election. The two candidates are now polling inside the margin of error, according to a new survey shared exclusively with POLITICO.
John Fetterman is slightly ahead with 48 percent of likely voters, while Mehmet Oz, pictured, has 46 percent, the poll by AARP found. | Gene J. Puskar/AP PhotoRepublican Mehmet Oz has narrowed Democrat John Fetterman’s lead in Pennsylvania’s bare-knuckle Senate election, and the two candidates are now polling inside the margin of error, according to a new survey shared exclusively with POLITICO.
Oz, meanwhile, has boosted his favorability ratings since June, when he was emerging from a brutal GOP primary in which his opponents drubbed him as a carpetbagger and faux Republican. He remains underwater, though: He is seen favorably by 38 percent, while 50 percent view him unfavorably. In June, those figures were 30 percent and 63 percent, respectively.
“When you look at the undecideds in the Senate race, they want to vote Republican in the generic ballot. They are net positive towards Trump’s job approval, and they are net negative towards Biden’s job approval,” he said. “They’re more interested in economic issues than they are in social issues. So those things hold some glimmer of hope for, obviously, Oz.”
Oz is preferred by white voters who are at least 50 years old. Fetterman, meanwhile, has expanded his lead among Black voters 50 years old and up. He is winning 84 percent of those voters, a jump from 76 percent in June. The state’s gubernatorial race is much less of a nail-biter than the Senate contest, according to the poll: Democrat Josh Shapiro is outrunning Republican Doug Mastriano 53 percent to 42 percent.
Four percent of likely voters in the poll are ticket-splitters, backing both Shapiro and Oz, and they are primarily older, white men. Meanwhile, both Democratic nominees are doing better among voters without college degrees compared to how candidates are performing in other states, according to the pollsters.
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