Joe Biden is a clear favorite in three states, but there’s room for a Bernie Sanders upset in three others. Here's FiveThirtyEight's final forecast for today’s primaries.
We don’t have any polling forWhat about the state of therace? The overall picture has become pretty clear. Our forecast views Biden as an overwhelming favorite with a 99 in 100 shot of winning a majority of pledged delegates. By contrast, Sanders is now an underdog with less than a 1 in 100 shot of winning a delegate majority, thanks to Biden’s strong performance on Super Tuesday and his lead in the polls.
We have five new national surveys since last Tuesday, and each found Biden with a double-digit lead over Sanders. The two most recent live-caller polls were bullish for Biden, as
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