Expert prediction for Oregon vs. Illinois by a football model that picks winners.
A new-look Big Ten game brought to us by conference realignment finds two ranked teams looking to avoid costly losses as No. 1 Oregon hosts No. 20 Illinois on Saturday. Let’s take a look at the latest prediction for the game from the expert football model that picks winners.
Illinois is coming off a statement win of its own, taking down Michigan last weekend, and moving to 3-1 in Big Ten play this season. The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams and picks winners based on a projected scoring margin per game.As expected, the Ducks are big favorites against the Fighting Illini by the model’s calculations.
Illinois is getting 72 percent of bets to either win the game in an upset or, more likely, to keep the game under 3 touchdowns.Oregon is first among Big Ten teams with an 86.3 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.Illinois ranks fifth in the Big Ten with a 6.1 percent chance at the 12-team playoff.
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