Opinion | This New Hampshire poll shows DeSantis’s path to defeating Trump

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Opinion | This New Hampshire poll shows DeSantis’s path to defeating Trump
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Opinion: The New Hampshire poll that shows DeSantis’s path to defeating Trump

The poll, which was conducted independent of any political campaign and provided exclusively to me, took place between April 2 and 11 by political firm J.L. Partners. It surveyed 623 likely GOP primary voters and used an innovative technique that included multiple modes of contacting survey respondents, including live calls to landline phones and in-app texting. The partisan breakdown was 65 percent Republican and 35 percent independent.

Trump could still win in this scenario, but it would likely be a tough fight. Only 5 percent of undecided voters named Trump as their second choice, whereas 31 percent chose moderates: former Wyoming representative Liz Cheney, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie or Sununu. An additional 20 percent had no second choice. Those voters will face a painful choice to waste their vote, abstain or back DeSantis in a Trump-DeSantis contest.These voters clearly do not like Trump.

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