Opinion | If This Is Like 1968, Then Trump Is in Big Trouble

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Opinion | If This Is Like 1968, Then Trump Is in Big Trouble
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Opinion: Trump campaigns like Richard Nixon and George Wallace, but in reality, he is Lyndon Johnson: a man who has lost control of the machine

The pundits are right: 2020 is shaping up a lot like 1968. But a closer look at the history tells us it’s not Donald Trump and the Republicans who stand to benefit from the unrest.

Like Johnson before him, Trump’s is the party in power—the party that has failed to provide peace, prosperity and social order. Republicans control the executive branch, the Senate and the Supreme Court. They alone own the chaos, rancor and instability that many voters have come to abhor and dread. Goldwater’s broadside didn’t make much sense in 1964. Inflation and unemployment were low. The Vietnam War had not yet claimed as many lives or generated as much discord as it would over the coming four years. The sexual revolution of the '60s was still in its infancy. Campus unrest, while on the rise, was just beginning to accelerate. In short, one had to be “just nutty as a fruitcake,” as LBJ said privately of Goldwater, to find the argument compelling.

Nixon was also more understated than another one of his 1968 rivals, independent candidate and former Alabama Governor George Wallace. An outspoken segregationist, Wallace trained his fire in equal doses on civil rights demonstrators and urban rioters, whom he conflated, and “over-educated, ivory-tower folks with pointed heads looking down their noses at us”—“when we get to be the president and some anarchist lies down in front of our car, it will be thecar he he’ll ever lie down in front of.

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