The inaccuracy of the CDC’s initial overestimates illustrate how lag time in collecting infection data from tests can skew numbers.
“There’s no way around it, it is a huge swing that makes it seem like something went really wrong,” Shruti Gohil, associate medical director for epidemiology and infection prevention at UC Irvine’s School of Medicine, told. “But there is always a delay in the testing information that comes in, and that’s what the public should take away.”
Data on new case counts are likely also unstable given the holiday season, CDC spokesperson Jasmine Reed told. Lagging state reporting and testing backlogs are to be expected, and she added that “the counts of cases will become more stable after the new year.” It’s important to note that the CDC’s slashed estimates of Omicron does not mean that ‘Omicron is not that bad,’—it’s “still too early to really know even that.” Rather, this should serve as a reminder that “Delta is the beast that you should be worried about.”
The latest data from the CDC and the US Department of Health & Human Services show that Omicron has the highest prevalence in HHS Region 2 which includes New Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands ; and Region 6 which includes Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas .
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